Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Chicago White Sox Series Preview

In attempts to resurrected the week-long dorment bats, resident frat-boy Nick Swisher is being accused of placing two inflatable female dolls in provocative positions (and bats inserted into the dolls) while at the Rogers Centre clubhouse hoping to inspire the rest of the team into hitting better. Chicago Sun-Tribune's Carol Swezak, obviously disgusted by the gesture, wrote "can you imagine the Yankees or Red Sox building a similar shrine in their locker room, in full view of clubhouse visitors? Can you imagine Joe Girardi or Terry Francona allowing that to happen? I can't." This event follows manager Ozzie Guillen's profanity laced tirade in Toronto where Gullien said "'We won it a couple years ago, and we're horse[bleep],'' Guillen said. ''The Cubs haven't won in 120 years, and they're the [bleep]ing best. [Bleep] it, we're good. [Bleep] everybody. We're horse[bleep], and we're going to be horse[bleep] the rest of our lives, no matter how many World Series we win. We are the bitch of Chicago. We're the Chicago bitch. We have the worst owner -- the guy's got seven [bleep]ing rings, and he's the [bleep]ing horse[bleep] owner.''

There is plenty of evidence to suggest that these two franchises should be in reverse order than they current are situated in the American League Central. After all, Bill James' Pythagorean win-loss record shows the White Sox as a 17-13 team while the Twins should be two games below .500, not two games ahead in the division. Is it the hitting? Well, the White Sox are scoring 4.48 runs per game (6th) while the Twins are scoring only 4.13 (11th). The White Sox have slugged 38 home runs -tops in the league- to the Twins 16, tied for the Kansas City Royals for last in the American League. How about the pitching? There too the White Sox have outshone the Twins limiting opponents to 3.87 (3rd) runs allowed per game versus 4.33 runs per game (6th). Plus the Chicago staff has only allowed 17 home runs -the lowest in the league- to Minnesota's 32. Going into today's series the White Sox have hit 21 more home runs while the Twins have been out-homered by 16. The White Sox bullpen has been every bit as good as the Twins bullpen. In 79 innings, the White Sox relief staff has compiled a 3.28 era while the Twins secondary pitchers have throw 95 innings with a 3.22 era. Yet on the morning of May 6th, the Twins found themselves at 16-14 winning their past five games and the Sox, at 14-16, were coming off a six game losing streak. Look all you want but you won't find any glaringly obvious reasons why the Twins are two games ahead of the Sox. In spite of a low batting average than the Twins (.229 to .260) the Sox have had more success reaching base (.318 to .310) and slugged better as well too (.391 to .374) so far in 2008. Nevertheless, the two teams are like ships passing in the night on Lake Michigan: Since the six game skid began, White Sox have hit just .170/.224/.272 in 203 plate appearances meanwhile during the five game winning streak the Twins have torched the ball hitting .293/.346/.445 in their last 181 plate appearance.

Monday, May 05, 2008

What the First?

For six consecutive batters to start the final game of the Detroit series, Boof Bonser was the grand marshall of the Tigers' hit parade. Curtis Granderson greeted him with a shot that landed seven rows above the beloved Baggy and the inning digressed into a series of unfortunate events including Placido Polanco's infield single off Bonser himself. The high-priced Motown lineup surgically sprayed line-drives over the Dome's turf Miguel Cabrera, Magglio Ordonez and Carlos Guillen all singled, accumulating two more runs. With Marcus Thames accounting for the only out of the first inning thus far with a foul pop to Mauer, the right-handed batting Edger Renteria doinked a low-and-away curve just over the head of the lumbering Justin Morneau and in front of the charging Michael Cuddyer scoring the bushy-haired Magglio Ordonez.

Prior to the game, the Tigers manager Jim Leyland reiterated his desire to have an increasingly mobile team. "A lot of it has to do with we’re not a motion team, we’re not a first-to-third team -- guys aren’t going first-to-third and sliding and making it on a close play. We’ve got to do better at that. Our secondary leads (the lead a player takes after the pitcher releases the ball) -- we’re going to have to keep harping on that." Leyland told the press. Leyland's pledge to implement his movement plan came to fruition in the first. With Miguel Cabrera batting with a 1-2 count Leyland attempt a hit and run. As Polonco dug for second, Cabrera fouled off the Bonser offering. Nevertheless Cabrera singled to Gomez later in that at-bat advancing Polonco regardless. Ordonez, the subsequent batter, singled to left on an 84-mph 3-2 slider with both Polonco and Cabrera in motion on the play. Polanco traipsed home with ease. A team that had been known for their long-ball, with a .437 slugging percentage (1st in the AL), were hitting and running all over the place.

It was as hapless as Bonser, who had been consistent for all but his Tampa Bay starts, had been this season. To be sure, his 2-4 record may invite plenty of naysayers but Bonser had been one of the most reliable pitchers on the staff. He could hardly be faulted if his offense failed to provide him even two runs of support per outing. Now in the Dome with the lone out and already down by five runs, he looked like a man presented with the task to solve a mathematics equation writing in hieroglyphics. You could see the motor in his mind churning as he wound up on the losing end of all but one of his first seven battles - even luck had left the Dome to enjoy the spring weather following Renteria's bloop.

With runners on the corners following Renteria's duckfart, Bonser focused in on the Tigers catcher, Ivan Rodriguez.

A lot of pundits like to make light of how impressive the Detroit line-up is with a future Hall of Famer in Rodriguez batting eighth. This revelation was not overlooked by our very own Fox Sports Net commentators. Eighth, of course, is exactly where a hitter like Rodriguez should be batting. This is because Rodriguez is grossly overrated at this point in his career. In his early years, Rodriguez was bar none the best defensive catcher in baseball. His arm was legendary. His bat was decent: between 22 and 25 years old, while cozying into the new offense injected Ballpark at Arlington, he was a 10-15 home run guy with a batting average that fell between .260 and .300. The strike-shortened 1994 season may have hindered his power potential as he hit 16 home runs in 363 at-bats when the season was halted. However, when he started at age 26 in 1998 Rodriguez began to swat the ball everywhere as he finished with a career best 21 home runs and a .321/.358/.513 batting line. In 1999, Rodriguez put together his finest season at 27 - in fact, if you look at his baseball-reference page, you will undoubtedly notice that if his career is a bell jar, this was certainly the pinnicle. He finished with 35 home runs and a .332/.356/.558 batting line. Even more curious is that Rodriguez attempted 37 stolen bases (successful on 25 of them) - 21 attempts more that season than his next highest season (16). For all this, Rodriguez was awarded the AL MVP. (It would be an injustice just to suggest his bat elevated him to the best player in the American League, as a catcher he logged 1,208 innings behind the plate and only allowed one (1!) passed ball all year.) Since 1999, production has since decline to the levels that it was at during his 22-25 years. This is a typical evolution in a player's career. You hit 30 years old and you no longer have the same batting eye, timing or wrist strength that you did at 25. However, as former teammate Jose Canseco suggests, I have to also believe that between 1997 and 2000 while playing with Texas, Ivan Rodriguez was on PEDs. A team that once boasted known PED users including Canseco, Rafael Palmerio and Juan Gonzalez probably influenced Ivan Rodriguez as well. Back in the present nearly a decade removed from the MVP season, Rodriguez deserves to bat eight because he is not someone that is reliable at getting on base to begin with. Last season, Rodriguez walked just nine times in 515 plate appearances (a walk rate of 1.7%). This led to an on-base percentage of .294, his lowest since two seasons before when he finished with a .290 obp due to walking just 11 times in 525 plate appearances (2.0% walk rate). This is the definition of an eight hitter.

Whether it was preordained by the Tiger coaches on the bench, an oversight by the interim Twins manager or simply Boof Bonser not believing 32-year-olds can run, Renteria was given free reign on the basepaths. True, in the past few seasons Renteria's ability to take second base has leveled off from his 2003 season in which he swiped 37 bases while with the Cardinals. When he did run, Renteria did so with precision. Last year he stole just 11 times in 13 attempts for the Atlanta Braves. It could have been that Bonser was to preoccupied with finally getting a second out that he completely zoned out whatever action may have been coiled on the basepaths. Whatever the reason maybe be for allowing Renteria to close the gap between himself and 2nd now closer to 83 feet away. With a 1-1 count on Rodriguez, Bonser rolled off an 78-mph curveball and Renteria took second with almost as much defensive indifference as the French army. This maneuver by the new-look Tigers effectively eliminated the double-play ball and put Renteria a single away from adding to that Tiger lead that was sitting at four.

Again, Bonser focused in on Rodriguez ahead in the count 1-2 - with Renteria now 90 feet closer to home. In his previous 1-2 count to Cabrera, Bonser came in with his curveball that was whacked to center for another hit and another run. Fresh in his mind, Bonser dropped the curveball below the strikezone and into the dirt. Rodriguez tried to hold up his swing at a ball that was making a short free-fall the distance of Rodriguez's knee to his ankles. To date, Joe Mauer had inspired as much confidence as Rodriguez did several years back behind the plate. In 2006, Mauer's last injury-free season, Joe logged 1059 innings and only allowing just 5 passed balls. Up until Bonser's 80 mph curveball to Rodriguez, Mauer had worked 220 innings without succumbing to a passed ball. This one, however, did not take the anticipated hop that Joe was looking for, instead, the tumbling ball hit the dirt and ran the ground to the backstop. This brought Guillen home from third and Renteria moved up yet again, now a total of 360 feet since his protecting the plate swing.

Bonser threw possibly his best pitch of the inning to Rodriguez only to have it five-hole the catcher that can count his passed balls allowed on his throwing hand. More contemplation appeared on Bonser's face as his pitch counted neared 35. Without the use of long-man Brian Bass, who filled in for Scott Baker the night before after his night was cut short following the third inning, Scott Ullger called on Bobby Korecky to begin loosening up in the bullpen. Renteria was comfortably at third and Rodriguez stood at first base - knowing full well he shouldn't be - with the confidence of college student who just snuck into a bar on a terribly fake ID.

Hope was on the horizon as former Twins Jacque Jones dug in at the plate who had been as close to an automatic out there could be. Never mind that if his season ended today .173/.256/.267 would be printed on the back of his baseball card for all the boys and girls to read, in the past week alone Jones had been hitting .063/.11/.125. Jones complied and struck out on four pitches (the punch-out slider may have been a mercy call by the umpire). There it was, five runs down without a single at-bat had by a Twins batter but the end was in sight. There were two outs as Detroit flipped its order back to the top to Granderson who, four runs ago, initiated the scoring.

Runners on the corners again, Bonser took his second attempt of the inning at subduing Granderson. Following a ball, the count pulled even at 2-2. On the following pitch Rodriguez broke for second. Mauer, who up until this point had not committed an error on the season, short-hopped Nick Punto on the throw which skipped towards Carlos Gomez in centerfield. Renteria scored as Rodriguez checked in at second. There it was: rock bottom. The moment of sheer disbelief. Bonser had thrown everything at the past few hitters but only to have the same results as the run total for the Tigers increased. Defensively he was not getting any assistance - Mauer's throw was bad and Punto should have gloved it. Three pitches later Granderson struck out looking and Bonser could retreat to the dugout to reformulate his game plan.

Friday, May 02, 2008

The Front Three (through 26 games)

Prior to the start of the 2008 season, I analyzed the pitching of the potential front three starters - Baker, Bonser and Hernandez - by their 2007 Record of Opponents Batting. Hernandez was viewed in the media as the more successful pitcher with his 11 wins with Arizona (to Baker's 9 and Bonser's 8), but when judging from the opponents batting, it is clear that he was the most hittable with his opponents batting with a .870 ops (compared to Baker's .760 and Bonser's .807). Twenty-seven games into the 2008 season and we are experiencing a similar dynamic: by record, Hernandez is considered the most success of the three. This, even to your most casual statistician is an egregious representation of the truth. Once again, when you dissect into the peripheral numbers, you find that not only is Hernandez not the best starter, he and the Twins should thank their lucky stars that they have managed to milk five victories out of those games.

Livan Hernandez - 3-1 (5-1), 5.05 era

Minnesota Twins' Livan Hernandez works against the Oakland Athletics in the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, April 22, 2008, in Oakland, Calif.

pa

runs

hits

hr

bb

k

sb

cs

avg

obp

slg

ops

154

22

45

6

7

13

0

2

.310

.338

.490

.827

Because of an injury to Kevin Slowey and Francisco Liriano requiring additional seasoning in the minors as he recovers from Tommy John surgery, the Livan Hernandez signing has been beneficial for the Twins. But with the emergence of Nick Blackburn as well as the success of Brian Duesing and Kevin Mulvey in triple-A, the free agent acquisition may be increasingly regrettable with every subsequent below average start by Hernandez. Hernandez got off to a fast, successful start winning his first three. Over the course of those 21 innings, an average of seven innings per start, Hernandez posted a 2.57 era with six strike outs and 1 walk - a Game Score average of 57. Pundits praised his mix of pitches and ability to get batters out without striking them out. Opponents were batting .263/.268/.325. More importantly, Hernandez did not surrender a single home run in that duration, a critical facet to his winning. However his success was waning and his ability to maintain that level of output sharply declined. In his last three starts, he managed to only accrue 14.2 innings (4.7 inning average per start) while averaging a Game Score of 32. Admittedly, these were against very good hitting teams of Texas, Oakland and Tampa Bay (Tampa Bay? Did I just say that?) but the same tricks that worked so well against Kansas City twice and Los Angeles were not creating the same results. Hernandez's era ballooned from 2.57 in his first three starts to 8.59 in his last three while he was tagged up for 6 home runs as batters accumulated a .369/.417/.619 batting line.

Hernandez is essentially turning his opponents in to Raul Ibanez (who is hitting .296/.339/.487 with Seattle). This batting line, while disappointingly high, is actually lower than the one that led to his .500 winning percentage with Arizona. The Twins offense has aided Hernandez by providing him with 4.41 runs of support while Hernandez has averaged a Game Score of 44. In three of the five games the Twins have won while Livan was pitching have come in spite of less than quality starts by Hernandez (a Game Score below 50). As the season progresses, the Twins offense will have to sustain the 4 runs or more of support if Hernandez continues to pitch like the last three games rather then the first three.

Boof Bonser - 2-4 (2-4), 3.75

pa

runs

hits

hr

bb

k

sb

cs

avg

obp

slg

ops

151

17

35

3

9

22

3

0

.250

.293

.379

.672

Don't let the 2-4 losing record fool you, Bonser has probably been the best pitcher in the Twins' cadre starting pitchers. In his first 19 innings of the year in three starts, Bonser issued just two free passes while striking out 12 leading to just six earned runs (an average Game Score of 56). Opponents hit just .253/.273/.387. The road to victory was detoured for Bonser thanks to zero offensive production and bullpen meltdowns. Even though he only allowed three earned runs in each of those two starts, the team's offense managed to score Bonser just two runs total in those two games. In his third start of the season Bonser was once again the recipient of minimal run support (two) but limited the Royals to just three hits on the way to six shutout innings for his first win of 2008. In his recent last three starts Bonser has somewhat stumbled thanks to the potent offenses of Tampa Bay, Oakland and Chicago coupled with the lack of run support. His Game Score average in those outings slipped to 48, slightly below quality. Bonser compiled 17 innings and allowed nine earned runs. Boof found himself battling more baserunners as he walked seven in those games. In those last three starts, Bonser's opponents hit .254/.315/.369. Again the Twins offense was no where to be found, scoring just six times in those innings and they were shutout by Oakland's Chad Gaudin.

Overall, Bonser's .672 ops is a significant improvement over the .807 opponents hit off him in 2007. This year, batters are hitting very similar to Ivan Rodriguez (.255/.302/.388) off of him. Bonser has a minor league resume that suggests he can maintain this sort of output for the remainder of the season, however, he will most likely end up having an ops between .750-.800. Nevertheless, if Bonser continues to pitch in the same manner that he has been throwing through his first six starts (3.62 FIP) and his run support increases from its appallingly low 1.70 runs per game (well below the team average of 3.86), he will certainly be the benefactor of wins as the season wears on.

Scott Baker - 2-0 (4-1), 4.50

pa

runs

hits

hr

bb

k

sb

cs

avg

obp

slg

ops

122

15

30

6

5

27

2

0

.256

.287

.436

.723

His last start notwithstanding, Baker has also performed much like the staff ace. Not only is his 27 strikeouts and 5 walks leading the Twins rotation, but he is currently second in the American League with a 5.40 strikeouts-to-walk ratio (Cleveland's Cliff Lee leads with an unearthly 16.00). In his fourth start of the season, Baker dueled Cleveland's Paul Byrd for seven innings, giving up only one run and striking out seven, issuing one walk and scattering five hits. Despite not being the pitcher of record, that April 20th Game Score of 70 has been the best pitched game so far this season for the Twins.

The 4-1 record the Twins have in Baker's starts is partly skewed because he has absconded with the highest run support (7.02), the envy of the pitching staff, but it is not as if Baker has needed all of those runs: up until his start against Texas, he had allowed 3 or fewer runs per start. Up until that Texas game, Baker threw four consecutive games with Game Scores 50 or higher. Though it would appear that his home run total of 6 (5th in the American League) in just 122 plate appearances would be alarming, especially considering he gave up only 15 total last season, it should be noted that they came split evenly between two games against the homer-friendly White Sox and Tigers. Because Baker has been very good at not allowing base runners (1.16 whip), all 6 of his home runs given have fortunately been solo home runs minimizing the potential impact of damage. If the nagging injuries do not persist, Baker might take his rightful spot as the number one starter in the Twins rotation.

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Welcome Back Pontoon.

The Texas Rangers pitching staff is in dire straits - a phrase that has become as commonplace in the recent years, as accepted as saying "there's turmoil in the Middle East". Aside from the veteran Kevin Millwood (3.32 era in 38 innings pitched) and the young Red Sox groomed Kason Gabbard (2.18 era in 20.1 innings pitched) the Rangers have suffered through futile innings provided by Vicente Padilla, Jason Jennings, Luis Mendoza and Scott Feldman. These arms are a substantial drop-off from the previous two. The front two are 2-2 in their 10 starts while the other four are 2-8 in their 14 starts. Of that last group, Feldman leds with a 4.50 era in his one start this season.

The free agent market has been brutal on the Rangers as of late - Chan Ho Park being the poster child for foolish investments as the Korean hurler failed to yield an era below 5.00 in his four seasons in Arlington - so the front office made a series of trades attempting to rebuild a starting rotation, a task that proved as easy as repairing Baghdad. The Rangers traded for Vincente Padilla in 2005 and then resigned Padilla to a lucrative contract in December 2006 in a thin free agent market. This back-loaded contract ($11 million + in 2008, 2009 and 2010) for the second-best pitcher of Nicaraguan decent (Denny Martinez being the best from the Central American country) has not returned the dividends that was expected following his initial 15-10 2006 season. In 2007 injuries led to only 23 starts and a 6-10 record (9-14 in total appearances) with a 5.76 era. This season in five starts Padilla is 2-2 with an era flirting with 5.00 (4.97).

Jason Jennings was signed this offseason to a 1-year, $4-million dollar contract after being a bitter disappointment in Houston (2-9 with 6.45 era in 18 starts), an organization that sacrificed Jason Hirsh, Tyler Buchholz and centerfielder Willy Taveraz. The hype that surrounded Jennings after his 2006 season with the Rockies was based on the idea that Jennings' pitching had "solved" Coors Field. Jennings had only allowed 9 home runs at home that year and his 3.78 was the lowest among the staff while throwing 212 innings. Still this season was a significant outlier in comparison to his previous three season where he had an era above 5.00. Following his debacle in East Texas last season, Jennings has taken the mound five times only to lose all five of them with a 7.46 era.

Feldman and Mendoza, 25 and 24 years old, have been fillers in the rotation. Feldman has dabbled in the Rangers bullpen since 2005 with various results and Mendoza made three starts in 2007 with the Rangers and maintained a 2.25 era in his 16 innings. This season in his three starts Mendoza has thrown 9.1 innings and has an era over 9.00. In his past two starts, he threw three innings in one and failed to get out of the second inning in his most recent outing. He has been, at best, a work in progress it would seem.

True, injury setbacks to Brandon McCarthy have clouded general manager Jon Daniel's vision for the 2008 season, however past transactions involving rising prospects such as John Danks and Edinson Volquez has left major league-ready pitchers barren in the Rangers system. Danks, one of the trading chips in the Brandon McCarthy trade, is enjoying a good start to the season with the White Sox. In four starts he is 2-1 with a 3.04 era over 23 innings and has yet to give up a home run. While Volquez's trade to Cincinnati brought Josh Hamilton to the Rangers but Volquez so far has thrived in southern Ohio. The hard-throwing righty is 3-0 in his 4 starts with a 1.21 era and 23 strikeouts in 22 innings. The three victories constitutes 33% of the total wins on a 9-win Reds team. Needless to say, these two arms, Danks and Volquez, would certainly be welcomed back to Texas if trades were able to be nullified. The outcome of this long history of pitching staff mismanagement has led to Sidney Ponson in the starting rotation.

This is the epitome of 'desperate times call for desperate measures'. McCarthy isn't expected to throw until the All-Star break and the Rangers are placing Mendoza on the disabled list (mercifully). When Daniels, new team president Nolan Ryan and Ron Washington went to the farm system, they found it, for the most part, void of major league pitchers. Currently 25-year-old Doug Mathis leads the triple-A Oklahoma staff with a 3.12 era and a 4-0 record in his four starts. In his 26 innings, he has struck out 19 while walking just 4. His 1.04 whip is the best in the rotation. Like the Twins' Nick Blackburn last year, Mathis is getting an absurd amount of groundball outs (64%). In a venue like the Ballpark at Arlington, this would seemingly be an appealing statistic considering the rate of which flyballs tend to leave the yard. Instead, the Rangers have opted to recall Ponson, a 31-year-old enjoying marginal success in the Pacific Coast League. In 5 starts, Ponson is 1-2 with a 3.47 era over the course of 23 innings. Ponson has struck out just 12 in that time while walking 9 leading to a whip of 1.47. Though some would argue there is negligible difference between a 3.12 era and a 3.47 era when you see that Mathis's FIP is 3.98 while Ponson's bloated 5.23 FIP reflects his girthy waistline it is apparent that Mathis has been pitching that much better.

Regardless of why the Texas brain-trust decided to bring Ponson back to the majors (the need for the omnipresent veteran in the rotation?), it should bode well for the Twins tonight.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

That's A Shame.

Three starts in to what should be a tour of the Twins minor league system rebuilding a surgically repair arm Francisco Liriano looks as comfortable as an enema on the mound. He is a shadow of the F-Bomb we familiarized ourselves with in 2006. So far in three starts in 2008 have yielded an average Game Score of 28 - a tiny 15 in the most recent.

What is most disturbing is not the loss itself, but rather his peripheral numbers at this point and the story they tell. After retiring just Mark Sweeney and being substituted for Brain Bass on Thursday afternoon, Liriano is carrying a paltry strike out rate of 12% and a bloated 23% walk rate. Simply, Liriano is not locating his fastball and therefore unable to use any off-speed pitch, let alone the facsimile that was his slider, to obtain a missed bat.

After walking Kurt Suzuki to commence the bottom of the first, La Velle E. Neal suggests that Liriano began to take velocity off of his fastball in order to place it better. While it may be true that he was trying too hard find the strike zone, he actually threw above 90 mph as the inning progressed. The three walks were disturbing. Liriano had trouble establishing his fastball, throwing it in the zone only 52% of the time. When he was only able to locate his change-up in the strike zone 33% of the time, no Athletic batter - all of whom practice very good plate discipline - were not going to chase the off-speed pitch.

Liriano threw 35 pitches to 9 batters, only to record one out while walking three, giving hits to five and six runs, all earned. Analyzing pitch f/x data reveals that Liriano used his fastball (one that was ranging from 88-90) approximately 71% of the time and tossing what was categorized as a change-up 28% of time while throwing just one slider to Rajai Davis, who ended up being the last batter Liriano would face. In retrospect, the pitch f/x shows that Liriano had several pitches that probably were strikes however when it appeared evident that he was not hitting his spots, the umpire certainly was not going to give him the benefit of the doubt. This forced Liriano to throw the ball directly over the middle of the plate. As indicated in the chart below, too many pitches landed within the middle of the strike zone. A revamped, all-right-handed A's line up feasted on the fastballs (all five hits were collected on the pitch) while seven times Liriano tried to throw the substandard fastball by the batters and three times it was raked for a base hit.

2%

2%

2%

5%

Pitch Chart

8%

< 20%

5%

20%

5%

14%

10-20%

5%

2%

5-9%

2%

8%

2%

2%

2%

> 5%

Ron Gardenhire provided the media with post-game speculatory quotes that hinted that Liriano needs more conditioning. "We've seen him down there and up here, and now comes the time to figure out what the next best step is for Frankie to get him back to where we need him," Gardenhire said. "That's what we need to decide." After this, Rochester's manager Stan Cliburn appears prophetic. Cliburn had told Gardenhire and the front office that he believe Liriano needed additional innings in the minors prior to being major league ready. Had Gardenhire taken Cliburn's advice, Liriano's confidence might not need extra massaging while building not only his arm physically with another tour of Triple-A before May ends, but now his psyche needs work as well.